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<P>Taking Advantage Of Pessimism</P> <P>Prophecies of imminent <B><a href="http://www.valentinohandbagssale.com/handle-bags-c-76/">valentino handles</a></B> economic catastrophe have become almost de rigueur in recent months. Whether it is talk of Europe facing deflation, Japan's Abenomics experiment failing, China heading toward a real estate crisis, or Russia being on the brink of direct conflict with Ukraine, the narrative is similarly dark. The "imminent crisis" theme has become overplayed, but if experience has taught me anything it is that nothing is more tiresome than a fashionable consensus. The reality is that none of these regions seem likely to suffer a calamitous nearterm crisis, thanks in part to the world being afloat in a sea of liquidity.</P> <P>Every major central bank, except the European Central Bank, has been printing money. And all indications are that Europe is ready to combat low inflation and anemic credit growth through some combination of policies such as negative interest rates, another longterm refinancing operation facility, or even direct quantitative easing. Federal Reserve is withdrawing it by tapering the pace of its asset purchases. Treasuries, which has been partly responsible for the recent bond <B><a href="http://www.valentinohandbagssale.com/">valentino handbags outlet</a></B> market rally. Treasury note broke out of its tight trading range in recent days, closing at 2.45 percent on Thursday its lowest yield since June of last year. economy is starting to brighten. economic data suggests the underlying strength of the American economy. gross domestic product growth was 1 percent, the first negative reading in three years, details in the report revealed strong consumer demand. economic activity, grew at 3.1 percent. economic growth. In Europe, economic confidence has reached levels not seen since 2011 and economic growth is modestly improving. All of this means that a huge swath of the global economy is now growing, which should benefit struggling economies, as noted in the chart below.</P> <P>While structural problems in the world's major economies are not going away, for the foreseeable future these problems should not stop the global economic expansion. and European economic data have been on an improving trend, helping to bolster the outlook for the global economy. As output accelerates in advanced economies, countries around the world should benefit from increasing demand for manufacturing inputs. With the investment cycle turning in the United States and Europe, global trade should accelerate in the near term, helping kickstart growth in some struggling emerging market economies.</P> <P>ADVANCED ECONOMY PMIS AND GLOBAL TRADE</P> <P>Source: Haver, Guggenheim Investments. Data as of 4/30/2014. PMI data prior to June 1997 is the average of the United States and United Kingdom only.</P> <P>This material is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investing advice or a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product. Forward looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and nonproprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. 2014, Guggenheim Partners. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.</P> <P>Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.</P>
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